Guyfall Conbridge

London (Reuters)-A military analyst sent a cruel and candid message to viewers of Russian state television. While Russia is almost completely isolated, the Ukrainian war will be exacerbated for Russia, which faces US-backed mass mobilization.

Since President Vladimir Putin ordered the invasion of Ukraine on February 24, Russian state media, especially state television, has supported the Kremlin’s position. Dissent voices are given little broadcast time.

It seemed strange when a well-known military analyst made a frank evaluation of what Putin cast as a “special military operation” on Russia’s major state television channel on Monday night.

“You shouldn’t swallow information tranquilizers,” retired Colonel Mikhail Kodaryonok told Rossiya-1’s “60 Minutes” talk show hosted by Olga Skabayeva, one of the most pro-Kremlin journalists on television. ..

“Frankly, the situation will get worse for us,” said Kodaryonoku, a regular customer of state media who often evaluates the situation frankly.

He said Ukraine can mobilize a million armed soldiers.

Prior to the invasion, Kodaryonok, a military columnist in the newspaper and a graduate of one of Russia’s elite military academies, warned that such measures would not be in Russia’s national interest.

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has killed thousands and expelled millions of people since the Cuban Missile Crisis of 1962, raising fears of the most serious conflict between Russia and the United States.

I couldn’t ask Khodaryonok and Skabeyeva for comment.

Sense of realism

War also marks the post-Soviet limits of Russia’s military, intelligence, and economic power. Despite Putin’s attempts to strengthen his army, Russian troops struggled terribly in many battles in Ukraine.

The siege of Kieu was abandoned and Russia instead focused on trying to establish control of the eastern Donbas region of Ukraine. The West has supplied billions of dollars in weapons to the Ukrainian army.

Although no losses have been publicly reported, Ukraine says Russia’s losses are worse than the 15,000 Soviets killed in the 1979-1989 Soviet-Afghanistan war.

“The desire to protect our country in the sense that it exists in Ukraine-it actually exists there and they intend to fight to the end,” Kodaryonok said before being disturbed by Skabayeva.

The greatest strategic consequences of Russia’s invasion to date have been the extraordinary unification of the United States’ European allies and the bid for Sweden and Finland to join the US-led NATO military alliance.

Kodaryonok said Russia needs to see reality.

“The main thing in our business is to have a sense of military and political realism. Beyond that, the reality of history has hit you hard and you don’t know what hit you. Let’s do it, “he said.

“Don’t swing the rocket in the direction of Finland for good. It looks pretty weird,” he said.

He said Russia was isolated.

“The main drawback of our military politics is that we are in complete geopolitical loneliness and we don’t want to admit it, but virtually the whole world is against us. We need to get out of this situation. “

(Report by Guy Faulconbridge, edited by Alison Williams)

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